GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/28/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoEverton La Plata
43.3Attack16.7
60.0Defence69.4
46.7Form25.0
50.2Power40.0
0.88xG0.51
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