GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/14/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoLDWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurWWWWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella de BerissoEstrella Del Sur
43.3Attack51.9
60.0Defence76.5
46.7Form71.6
50.2Power67.7
0.63xG1.20
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