Torneo Promocional AmateurTorneo Promocional Amateur
Tuesday, 23 June 2026Last updated 10:12
Estrella de Berisso

Estrella de Berisso

Home
L
11
Full time
Defensores Glew

Defensores Glew

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Defensores Glew(31%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Estrella de Berisso
42%
Draw
27%
Defensores Glew
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Estrella de Berisso
34
Defensores Glew
9
Defence
Estrella de Berisso
27
Defensores Glew
91
Momentum
Estrella de Berisso
0
Defensores Glew
33
Danger (xG)
Estrella de Berisso
0.90
Defensores Glew
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Estrella de Berisso)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Defensores Glew)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Estrella de Berisso)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Defensores Glew)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso
LD
Defensores GlewDefensores Glew
DD

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Estrella de Berisso42%
Draw27%
Defensores Glew31%

Estrella de Berisso leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Estrella de Berisso head into this in Torneo Promocional Amateur fixture in mixed form (L), while Defensores Glew arrive in mixed form (D). Estrella de Berisso have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Defensores Glew over 1 games.

The model rates Estrella de Berisso's attack at 34/100 against a 91/100 Defensores Glew defence, and Defensores Glew's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 Estrella de Berisso backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Estrella de Berisso have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Defensores Glew have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Defensores Glew to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Estrella de Berisso 4169%, Draw 2710%, Defensores Glew 3121%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Estrella de Berisso 0Draws 10 Defensores Glew
Avg goals: 2.0BTTS in 1/1
23 Jun 2026
Estrella de Berisso
D11
Defensores Glew

Recent form

Estrella de Berisso

Estrella de Berisso

L
vs Juventud de Bernal
6 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Defensores Glew
23 Jun 2026
11
Defensores Glew

Defensores Glew

D
@ Nautico Hacoaj
10 Jul 2026
00
D
@ Estrella de Berisso
23 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores Glew?

GoalVio's model predicts Defensores Glew to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores Glew?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores Glew?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores Glew?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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