GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/16/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Belgrano ZarateDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoBelgrano Zarate
43.3Attack25.0
60.0Defence80.6
46.7Form47.2
50.2Power53.5
0.66xG0.55
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