GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/14/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Barrancas UMET are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Barrancas UMET hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 64.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoLDLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barrancas UMETLDLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoBarrancas UMET
43.3Attack35.9
60.0Defence82.1
46.7Form69.2
50.2Power64.6
0.64xG0.82
View match centre →