GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 8/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrela U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Estrela U23 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Leixões U23 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela U23 hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 38.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Liga Revelação U23, while Estrela U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrela U23

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

13.8%

Estrela U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrela U23LLLLW

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Leixões U23DWLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrela U23Leixões U23
38.1Attack39.3
45.2Defence42.9
36.9Form25.0
42.5Power38.1
1.43xG1.16
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