Estrela U23vs
Farense U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farense U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrela U23 1-1 Farense U23
Original prediction
Farense U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.5% | 33.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 27.2% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Farense U23
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Farense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80