GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 8/22/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Farense U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Estrela U23 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Farense U23 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Farense U23 hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Liga Revelação U23, while Farense U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Farense U23

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

Farense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrela U23W

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Farense U23LW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Estrela U23Farense U23
38.1Attack48.8
45.2Defence39.3
36.9Form46.4
42.5Power46.1
1.47xG1.49
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