Estrela do Nortevs
Sport Brasil ES
COMPLETEDBrazil · Capixaba B · 8/25/2025, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrela do Norte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Estrela do Norte are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sport Brasil ES are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrela do Norte hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Capixaba B, while Estrela do Norte holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estrela do Norte
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
11.5%
Estrela do Norte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00