Estoril U23vs
Santa Clara U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estoril U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estoril U23 2-1 Santa Clara U23
Original prediction
Estoril U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.2% | 42.4% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 27.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.6% | 29.7% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Estoril U23
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Estoril U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20