GGOALVIO

Portugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 8/22/2023, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estoril U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Estoril U23 are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Mafra U23 are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estoril U23 hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Liga Revelação U23, while Estoril U23 holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estoril U23

Probability

75.9%

Model confidence

75.9%

Estoril U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estoril U23WD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Mafra U23WLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Estoril U23Mafra U23
72.6Attack44.0
58.3Defence40.5
72.6Form26.2
68.8Power38.0
3.07xG0.92
View match centre →