Estoril U23vs
Famalicão U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 9/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estoril U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estoril U23 4-2 Famalicão U23
Original prediction
Estoril U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.6% | 42.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.4% | 30.9% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Estoril U23
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Estoril U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80