Estonia U21vs
France U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
France U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (12%), 0-4 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estonia U21 0-2 France U21
Original prediction
France U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38.00 | 2.5% | 7.3% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 16.02 | 5.9% | 10.8% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.02 | 91.7% | 81.9% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–312%
- 2.0–410%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
France U21
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
France U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80