Estonia U21vs
Faroe Islands U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Faroe Islands U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estonia U21 0-1 Faroe Islands U21, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estonia U21 1-2 Faroe Islands U21
Original prediction
Faroe Islands U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.9% | 21.5% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 26.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 38.1% | 52.4% | 14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Projected Score
Estonia U21 0–1 Faroe Islands U21
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Faroe Islands U21
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Faroe Islands U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.20/2.80