Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estepona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Águilas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.3% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80