Esteghlal Khuzestanvs
Shams Azar Qazvin
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0 Shams Azar Qazvin
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.5% | 28.8% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.8% | 34.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.6% | 37.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Esteghlal Khuzestan 0–0 Shams Azar Qazvin
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00