Esteghlal FCvs
Persepolis FC
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esteghlal FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Esteghlal FC 0-0 Persepolis FC, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Esteghlal FC 1-1 Persepolis FC
Original prediction
Esteghlal FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.7% | 38.1% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.8% | 31.9% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.5% | 30.0% | -7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Esteghlal FC 0–0 Persepolis FC
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Esteghlal FC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Esteghlal FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80