Esteghlal FCvs
Gol Gohar
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/19/2026, 2:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Esteghlal FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Esteghlal FC 0-0 Gol Gohar, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Esteghlal FC 1-0 Gol Gohar
Original prediction
Esteghlal FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.1% | 44.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.7% | 32.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.73 | 19.2% | 23.4% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Esteghlal FC 0–0 Gol Gohar
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Esteghlal FC
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Esteghlal FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00