Esteghlal FCvs
Al Sadd
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 9/14/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sadd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Esteghlal FC 0-1 Al Sadd, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Esteghlal FC 3-0 Al Sadd
Original prediction
Al Sadd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 24.5% | 24.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 48.0% | 48.0% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Projected Score
Esteghlal FC 0–1 Al Sadd
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Sadd
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Al Sadd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Esteghlal FCWDDDW
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Al SaddWWWWW
GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Esteghlal FCAl Sadd
26.7Attack61.1
60.0Defence61.1
33.3Form44.4
41.3Power52.8
0.74xG1.29