Estac Troyesvs
Strasbourg
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estac Troyes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estac Troyes 2-6 Strasbourg
Original prediction
Estac Troyes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.01 | 31.5% | 42.6% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.8% | 27.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 40.7% | 30.4% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Estac Troyes
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Estac Troyes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60