GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 2 · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estac Troyes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Laval are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Laval hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estac TroyesDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LavalWDLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estac TroyesLaval
37.7Attack35.1
56.1Defence60.5
36.8Form48.2
45.5Power50.0
0.94xG0.86
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