Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Balingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Essingen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Balingen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Balingen hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg, while Balingen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Balingen
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
12.2%
Balingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60