GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 4/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Essendon Royals SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Essendon Royals SC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Whittlesea United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Essendon Royals SC hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Essendon Royals SC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Essendon Royals SC

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Essendon Royals SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Essendon Royals SCLLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Whittlesea UnitedLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Essendon Royals SCWhittlesea United
83.3Attack55.6
50.0Defence61.1
65.3Form47.2
65.2Power54.9
2.19xG1.49
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