GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 6/5/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Essendon Royals SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Essendon Royals SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Springvale are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Essendon Royals SC hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Essendon Royals SC holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Essendon Royals SC

Probability

78.3%

Model confidence

78.3%

Essendon Royals SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Essendon Royals SCLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SpringvaleLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Essendon Royals SCSpringvale
83.3Attack40.3
50.0Defence38.9
65.3Form40.3
65.2Power41.6
3.55xG1.05
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