GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 5/15/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Essendon Royals SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Essendon Royals SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Moreland City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Essendon Royals SC hold a 36.1-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.2% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Essendon Royals SC holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Essendon Royals SC

Probability

85.2%

Model confidence

85.2%

Essendon Royals SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Essendon Royals SCLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Moreland CityDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Essendon Royals SCMoreland City
83.3Attack42.0
50.0Defence15.9
65.3Form18.8
65.2Power29.1
4.50xG1.05
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