Esperança d'Andorravs
Ordino
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 9/20/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ordino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esperança d'Andorra 4-0 Ordino
Original prediction
Ordino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.5% | 31.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.2% | 26.1% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.3% | 42.3% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Ordino
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Ordino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20