Esperança d'Andorravs
FC Santa Coloma
COMPLETEDAndorra · 1a Divisió · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Santa Coloma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esperança d'Andorra 1-2 FC Santa Coloma
Original prediction
FC Santa Coloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 25.40 | 3.5% | 23.3% | 19.7 pts |
| Draw | 7.37 | 12.2% | 21.7% | 9.5 pts |
| Away | 1.07 | 84.3% | 55.0% | -29.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-29.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Santa Coloma
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
FC Santa Coloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40