Espanyol Wvs
Madrid CFF W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madrid CFF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol W 5-1 Madrid CFF W
Original prediction
Madrid CFF W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 27.2% | 26.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.7% | 26.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.0% | 47.1% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Madrid CFF W
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Madrid CFF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80