Espanyol Wvs
Deportivo Alavés W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol W 1-0 Deportivo Alavés W
Original prediction
Espanyol W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.2% | 47.8% | 11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.2% | 26.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.6% | 26.1% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol W
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Espanyol W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60