Espanyolvs
Real Madrid
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 8/22/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Madrid · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol 1-2 Real Madrid
Original prediction
Real Madrid
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Real Madrid
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Real Madrid has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EspanyolWLDDD
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real MadridWWWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
EspanyolReal Madrid
100.0Attack76.3
100.0Defence77.2
100.0Form83.3
97.0Power78.7
0.88xG1.79