GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/19/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Espanyol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Espanyol are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Racing Santander are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Espanyol hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (58.2 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Segunda División, while Espanyol holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Espanyol

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EspanyolDLWWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Racing SantanderWWDWD

GF 6 · GA 0 · avg 1.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
EspanyolRacing Santander
44.9Attack50.0
70.3Defence56.3
55.1Form50.8
58.2Power53.7
1.27xG0.80
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