Espanyol IIvs
Osasuna II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol II 1-0 Osasuna II
Original prediction
Espanyol II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.9% | 47.1% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.5% | 27.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.84 | 18.6% | 25.3% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60