Espanyol IIvs
Náxara
SCHEDULEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 11/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.0% | 66.8% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.22 | 14.5% | 19.5% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 13.83 | 6.5% | 13.7% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Espanyol IIWLWWW
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
NáxaraDLLLW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Espanyol IINáxara
100.0Attack8.3
75.0Defence33.3
75.0Form8.3
78.6Power19.9
2.31xG0.66