GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/10/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Espanyol II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Espanyol II are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while La Nucía are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Espanyol II hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.2% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Espanyol II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Espanyol II

Probability

60.2%

Model confidence

60.2%

Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Espanyol IILW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
La NucíaLL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Espanyol IILa Nucía
39.2Attack22.5
56.9Defence38.2
45.1Form20.6
49.1Power30.3
1.64xG0.55
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