Espanyol IIvs
Calamocha
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol II 5-0 Calamocha
Original prediction
Espanyol II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.36 | 66.1% | 48.4% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.7% | 26.9% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 8.02 | 11.2% | 24.7% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50