Espanyol IIvs
Arnedo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Espanyol II 5-0 Arnedo
Original prediction
Espanyol II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 73.4% | 61.8% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.12 | 17.5% | 21.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 9.93 | 9.0% | 16.7% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol II
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Espanyol II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.50/3.25