ESMTKvs
Cegledi VSE
COMPLETEDHungary · NB III - Southeast · 7/30/2023, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ESMTK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
ESMTK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cegledi VSE are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ESMTK hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 18.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the NB III - Southeast, while ESMTK holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ESMTK
Probability
60.6%
Model confidence
60.6%
ESMTK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 2.50/2.00