GGOALVIO

Sweden · Elitettan · 4/23/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eskilstuna United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Eskilstuna United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Häcken II W are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Eskilstuna United hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.1% in the Elitettan, while Eskilstuna United holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eskilstuna United

Probability

69.1%

Model confidence

69.1%

Eskilstuna United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eskilstuna UnitedLW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Häcken II WWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/4.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Eskilstuna UnitedHäcken II W
50.0Attack41.0
41.0Defence1.3
46.2Form23.1
46.7Power25.6
3.15xG1.29
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