Eskilsminnevs
Tvååker
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eskilsminne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eskilsminne 4-2 Tvååker
Original prediction
Eskilsminne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.7% | 37.5% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.4% | 28.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.9% | 33.7% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Eskilsminne
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Eskilsminne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00