GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eskilsminne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Eskilsminne 2-7 Olympic

Original prediction

Eskilsminne

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4237.2%47.1%9.9 pts
Draw3.6324.8%20.4%-4.4 pts
Away2.3738.0%32.4%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Eskilsminne

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

47.1%

Eskilsminne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EskilsminneWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
OlympicLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
EskilsminneOlympic
54.2Attack52.8
38.9Defence34.7
40.3Form37.5
45.1Power42.6
2.30xG1.76
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