Eskilsminnevs
Lund
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eskilsminne 1-4 Lund
Original prediction
Lund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 35.3% | 25.7% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 19.4% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.28 | 40.0% | 54.9% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Lund
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Lund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EskilsminneDLWLD
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LundLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EskilsminneLund
55.1Attack64.1
32.1Defence56.4
38.5Form55.1
42.6Power58.1
1.49xG2.51