Eskilsminnevs
AFC Malmo
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eskilsminne · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eskilsminne 1-2 AFC Malmo
Original prediction
Eskilsminne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.7% | 38.4% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 27.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.9% | 34.0% | -11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Eskilsminne
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Eskilsminne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40