Eskişehirsporvs
Akşehirspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · Türkiye Kupası · 10/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eskişehirspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eskişehirspor 4-1 Akşehirspor
Original prediction
Eskişehirspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.07 | 85.5% | 50.7% | -34.9 pts |
| Draw | 8.62 | 10.7% | 23.3% | 12.6 pts |
| Away | 24.29 | 3.8% | 26.0% | 22.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Eskişehirspor
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Eskişehirspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60