Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravshan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Eskhata are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ravshan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ravshan hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Ravshan holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ravshan
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
13.3%
Ravshan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80