Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khujand · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Eskhata are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Khujand are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Khujand hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Khujand holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khujand
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
15.8%
Khujand has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20