Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Eskhata are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Istiqlol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Istiqlol
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40