České Budějovicevs
Benešov
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
České Budějovice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
České Budějovice 3-0 Benešov
Original prediction
České Budějovice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 68.3% | 49.2% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.0% | 24.8% | 6.8 pts |
| Away | 6.61 | 13.7% | 26.0% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
České Budějovice
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
České Budějovice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 13 · avg 3.60/2.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00