Esenler Eroksporvs
Mardin 1969
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mardin 1969 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Esenler Erokspor 0-0 Mardin 1969, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Esenler Erokspor 4-2 Mardin 1969
Original prediction
Mardin 1969
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 45.7% | 24.4% | -21.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 33.0% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 26.2% | 42.7% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.4 pts
Projected Score
Esenler Erokspor 0–0 Mardin 1969
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Mardin 1969
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Mardin 1969 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60