Esenler Eroksporvs
Iğdır FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Iğdır FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Esenler Erokspor 0-1 Iğdır FK
Original prediction
Iğdır FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.6% | 33.8% | -16.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 28.8% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.3% | 37.4% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Iğdır FK
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Iğdır FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Esenler EroksporDDDLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Iğdır FKLLWDL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Esenler EroksporIğdır FK
0.0Attack50.0
100.0Defence71.1
33.3Form50.9
45.3Power55.8
0.81xG1.28