GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 4/2/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Escorpiones Belén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Escorpiones Belén are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Escorpiones Belén hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (58.9 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Escorpiones Belén holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Escorpiones Belén

Probability

88.8%

Model confidence

88.8%

Escorpiones Belén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Escorpiones BelénDWLDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Turrialba FcDWLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Escorpiones BelénTurrialba Fc
76.7Attack28.1
42.5Defence10.4
58.3Form18.8
58.9Power22.4
4.48xG0.80
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